Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 10.521974 12.144765 13.881412 15.872147 18.084837 20.462553 23.204462
2025-06-01 8.363474 10.461572 12.847193 15.740106 19.131791 22.960463 27.586389
2025-06-08 6.764416 9.078663 11.851238 15.375991 19.692946 24.761891 31.114156
2025-06-15 5.796423 8.275152 11.382113 15.492921 20.713075 27.041887 35.207788
2025-06-22 4.958813 7.503774 10.830837 15.396212 21.384502 28.852299 38.735253
2025-06-29 4.385944 6.998316 10.545297 15.571715 22.353114 31.016977 42.731712
2025-07-06 3.916313 6.570406 10.303963 15.753899 23.296975 33.144985 46.716739
2025-07-13 3.603966 6.327821 10.283295 16.210463 24.599080 35.757747 51.388178
2025-07-20 3.292165 6.045688 10.170365 16.509074 25.672639 38.078906 55.723400
2025-07-27 2.943286 5.662465 9.867625 16.497303 26.287316 39.775290 59.247423
2025-08-03 2.496826 5.065276 9.182710 15.861073 25.955680 40.129833 60.925268
2025-08-10 2.196395 4.677916 8.787764 15.625108 26.174947 41.236096 63.643990
2025-08-17 1.906840 4.276727 8.338445 15.275711 26.207785 42.079566 66.028396
2025-08-24 1.682523 3.966204 8.009848 15.088741 26.464345 43.237689 68.874333
2025-08-31 1.455519 3.619529 7.586193 14.712008 26.397268 43.903070 71.012048
2025-09-07 1.326473 3.450876 7.459040 14.814217 27.076364 45.683877 74.803860
2025-09-14 1.184084 3.234867 7.225831 14.716361 27.422346 46.963039 77.878575
2025-09-21 1.090203 3.110586 7.150830 14.883677 28.197625 48.908655 81.980682
2025-09-28 1.006082 2.996587 7.084579 15.058551 28.985645 50.888173 86.171955
2025-10-05 0.958163 2.960179 7.165282 15.498603 30.227139 53.599367 91.523712
2025-10-12 0.898000 2.886303 7.164502 15.786539 31.217451 55.936565 96.350452
2025-10-19 0.814381 2.742276 7.008607 15.775112 31.691004 57.462291 99.958239
2025-10-26 0.687359 2.465218 6.550043 15.161306 31.091086 57.247093 100.856476